Yet, one would think that 2 million defensive gun uses per year would be a signal event that dissuades anyone of attacking another. Having more people walking about with guns is not proven mechanism for deterring attack. Yet, the data do not endorse any conclusion that increased concealed carry numbers provide the desired personal outcome – reduction, or elimination, of the likelihood of attack on a person. What do we have left? Presumable, increasing numbers of concealed gun carriers demonstrates some sort of positive trend for “gun rights”. Do the statistics support that conclusion? One points to reduced overall crime, but there is no direct connection (cause and effect) identified in any reported studies.
The numbers of concealed carry permits, and the number of defensive gun uses should present a formidable deterrence (at least as regards concealed gun permit holders) to further attacks. Against the entire adult population, the result is.
For best case, let us fit all the defensive gun uses into the population of concealed carry permit holders. Again, based on comments here, there are allegedly 2 million defensive gun uses in a given year. The ration of concealed carry permit holders represents an approximate 6% of the population (a figure that does not point to a looming majority of the population supporting unfettered gun possession you remain in the significant, if not drastic, minority). The reason for that are the comments here about how criminals will be reluctant to attack an individual if the criminal fears the intended victim is armed. One should think that 15 million know gun carriers implies some amount of deterrence to personal attack. Presuming people under 18 years do not possess concealed carry permits, then we must compare 15 millions to 246 million (one cannot compare total owners of firearms to total adult population because the number of adults who own firearms is not knowable). US Census figures for 2014 indicated an adult (age 18 and over) population of around 246 millions. Let’s not completely do away with the bails, here. ©2017 by Dean Weingarten: Permission to share is granted when this notice and link are included. With over 15 million carry permits nationwide, and 13 constitutional carry states, the movement to restore the unfettered exercise of Second Amendment rights continues on a fast track. Today Arizona has over 315,00 permits, more than double what it had when constitutional carry was enacted. Still, the reduction in the pace of permits issued in constitutional carry states is usually temporary. In Arizona, there had been 156,000 permits issued by 2010 when Arizona joined the Constitutional Carry club.
A modest counter current to the trend exists in the increase in constitutional carry states (where citizens no longer need to go through the permitting process in order to carry legally). Texas is in the process of reducing its permit fees from $140, to $40, for example. The rate of increase in Americans with canceled carry permits continues to grow as reforms of the permitting process make acquisition easier. And that puts the number of carry permits over 15 million nationally. That’s an increase of 624,625 permits for only those dozen states. It was a record year for Ohio and many states.
The dozen states listed below show actual figures and the increase from the numbers cited earlier in the CPRC study.Īrizona 272,622 to 315,107 as of May 18, 2017, an increase of 42,485.įlorida 1,581,742 to 1,755,580 as of April 30, 2017, an increase of 173,838. Starting with numbers from the Crime Prevention Research Center, there have been increases in all states where numbers were available. It’s now over 15 million, and likely to go much higher. In July, 2016, the number of concealed carry permits in the United States was over 14.5 million and was growing rapidly during the election year.
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